Dep. Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
QUI
0 - 0
BSC
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1986 |
COT
3 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
AME
4 - 1
EME
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +6 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SFE
1 - 2
EME
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |