Dep. Quito vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
QUI
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
CRZ
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
OLM
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 1
ESP
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
CUE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 3
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |