Primera A Finals Final
Global 4-3
Dep. Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
QUI
46%
28%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
MAC
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
QUI
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
QUI
46%
28%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
EME
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLM
1 - 2
CUE
39%
30%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
CUE
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
ESP
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |