Dep. Quito vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
QUI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
EME
3 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
EME
0 - 0
LOJ
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 1
MAC
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
LOJ
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 1
CUE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |