Dep. Quito vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 3
QUI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
BSC
3 - 1
LOJ
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
LOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 3
CUE
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |