Dep. Quito vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 4
QUI
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 0
TEC
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 1
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 0
LOJ
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |