Dep. Quito vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 2
QUI
32%
29%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
IVT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 4
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EME
4 - 1
LOJ
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 1
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
4 - 0
IMB
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
3 - 0
LOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
2 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |