Dep. Quito vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
IVT
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
QUI
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
LOJ
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |