Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
QUI
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CLA
3 - 0
QUI
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 4
QUI
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
TEC
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 1
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
OLM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IMB
1 - 2
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
CLA
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |