Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
QUI
26%
29%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
LIG
0 - 0
QUI
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 3
CUE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
TEC
2 - 1
QUI
31%
27%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 2
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |