Dep. Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
OLM
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
QUI
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
LOJ
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
3 - 0
CUE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 0
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
EME
0 - 0
IVT
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
6 - 0
OLM
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |