Dep. Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TEC
0 - 0
QUI
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
CUE
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 0
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 0
EME
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 2
QUI
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |