Dep. Quito vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 1
CUE
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
ESP
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UCE
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CUE
2 - 0
TEC
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 1
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |