Dep. Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 0
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
DEP
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 2
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 4
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
CUE
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 3
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |