Dep. Quito vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
LOJ
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
QUI
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
66%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |