Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 0
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
DEP
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 2
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 4
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BSC
2 - 5
IVT
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
BSC
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
BSC
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |