Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 2
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
IMB
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 1
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BSC
4 - 0
OLM
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
IVT
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
2 - 3
BSC
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
OLM
4 - 0
BSC
40%
31%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 1
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |