Primera A Finals Final
Global 3-3
Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
2 - 0
QUI
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
1 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
QUI
5 - 0
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 2
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
EME
2 - 1
QUI
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
BSC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
31%
29%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OLM
0 - 1
BSC
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BSC
0 - 0
EME
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |