Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1986 |
COT
3 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1986 |
BAN
3 - 3
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1986 |
QUI
3 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
QUI
2 - 1
COT
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BSC
3 - 3
QUI
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1986 |
COT
0 - 0
BSC
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 2
BSC
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1986 |
BSC
1 - 0
BAN
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
BSC
1 - 1
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BSC
3 - 3
QUI
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |