Dep. Quito vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
QUI
2 - 1
COT
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BSC
3 - 3
QUI
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
4 - 0
QUI
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
QUI
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 0
QUI
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1986 |
BSC
1 - 0
BAN
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1985 |
BAN
1 - 1
COT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1985 |
BAN
3 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
BAN
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1985 |
SCI
1 - 2
BAN
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |