Dep. Quito vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
LOJ
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 0
CUE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EME
2 - 0
AUC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 3
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 2
LOJ
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |