Quiché vs FC La Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1335%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
17º
17º
19
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 35 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 33 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 32 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 31 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 29 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 22 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
|
17º
|
9 | 20 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
20º
|
4 | 15 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 12 |
19º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 12 |
20º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COA
3 - 0
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
6 - 0
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IZT
2 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 2
DFC
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
DFC
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
DJC
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | +9 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCL
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
5 - 2
IZT
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | +3 |