Deportivo Portugués vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Portugués
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POR
1 - 0
GAL
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 79 | 65 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1968 |
NAU
3 - 2
POR
88%
8%
3%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 79 | 65 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
POR
1 - 1
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |