Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
CUC
0 - 1
PER
61%
23%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 1
PER
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PER
5 - 0
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 3
ONC
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
2 - 1
QUI
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ONC
2 - 0
PAT
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
ONC
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
ONC
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |