Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
29%
24%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CUC
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 3
LLA
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |