Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
PER
2 - 0
BOG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
PER
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PER
0 - 1
QUI
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
ONC
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
AGU
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 3
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |