Dep. Paraguayo vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DPA
2 - 0
VIC
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
DPA
47%
27%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DPA
3 - 0
CES
82%
14%
5%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DPA
0 - 0
MUÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
DPA
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
ARR
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CES
1 - 3
POR
11%
24%
65%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
ALE
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |