Dep. Paraguayo vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 0
DPA
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
DPA
0 - 0
LAM
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CBA
0 - 0
DPA
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 1
DPA
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
DPA
0 - 0
PUE
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 0
MUÑ
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 2
ALE
69%
21%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
ITU
48%
27%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |