Dep. Paraguayo vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
10º
11º
25
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
DPA
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DPA
1 - 3
JUU
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CES
2 - 3
DPA
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
DPA
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
CES
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
CAM
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
LUG
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |