Dep. Paraguayo vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
10º
11º
19
2º
9º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 0
DPA
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
CES
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
DPA
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DPA
3 - 1
ARR
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
DPA
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 2
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 3
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUU
47%
26%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |