Dep. Paraguayo vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
10º
9º
16
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 1
DPA
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MUÑ
0 - 4
DPA
65%
22%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 1
JUU
45%
26%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
SBA
1 - 0
DPA
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 1
CAM
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 3
MUÑ
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 2
CBA
52%
25%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
YUP
3 - 1
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |