Dep. Paraguayo vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CBA
0 - 2
DPA
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
DPA
0 - 1
LIN
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SBA
4 - 1
DPA
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DPA
1 - 2
CLA
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
DPA
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
PUE
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
YUP
2 - 0
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAA
31%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 0
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |