Dep. Paraguayo vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
DPA
70%
20%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SBA
3 - 3
DPA
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 0
SMA
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPA
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
CES
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CBA
1 - 0
LUG
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAA
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
LUG
29%
29%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |