Dep. Paraguayo vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
10º
9º
11
2º
8º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
DPA
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 0
DPA
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DPA
1 - 1
JUU
41%
27%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
DPA
74%
17%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 0
ARR
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 1
JUU
58%
25%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
ARR
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |