Dep. Paraguayo vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CBA
2 - 4
DPA
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DPA
1 - 1
YUP
23%
25%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
DPA
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 1
MER
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DPA
1 - 2
MUÑ
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
MUÑ
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
TOT
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 3
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOT
0 - 3
ARR
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 2
SBA
36%
26%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |