Dep. Paraguayo vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
DPA
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
DPA
0 - 1
PUE
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
LAM
4 - 0
DPA
47%
29%
25%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
YUP
5 - 3
DPA
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CBA
2 - 0
DPA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 2
YUP
59%
24%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CBA
1 - 1
ARM
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 1
CLA
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAA
1 - 1
ARM
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
ARM
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |