Liga Mayor Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 8-2
Atlético Pantoja vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Pantoja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 4
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
DEP
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 4
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
AVR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
MOC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |