CD Ocotal vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
DIR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
JAP
1 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
WAL
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 3
MAN
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 1
REA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
REA
3 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
EST
21%
28%
51%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DIR
1 - 0
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |