CD Ocotal vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
4º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DIR
7 - 0
DEP
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
DEP
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
WAL
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
DEP
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
JAP
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
ORM
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MTG
1 - 1
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |