CD Ocotal vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.3%
67.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
5º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 1
DEP
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 0
DEP
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
13%
25%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
JAP
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |