CD Ocotal vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.3%
67.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
5º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 1
DEP
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 0
DEP
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
13%
25%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
JAP
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |