CD Ocotal vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
10º
9º
21
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
11%
23%
67%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 4
UNA
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DIR
0 - 2
ORM
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 66 | 53 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 1
MAN
8%
15%
78%
|
13 | 59 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | +1 |