CD Ocotal vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
10º
9º
17
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
UNA
26%
26%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
3 - 1
DEP
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DEP
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 2
DIR
10%
22%
68%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 2
MAN
15%
26%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
MFC
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
UNA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |