CD Ocotal vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
4º
30
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
19%
23%
59%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
WAL
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 1
DEP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 0
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |