CD Ocotal vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
59%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
10º
9º
25
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 17 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
6 - 2
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |