CD Ocotal vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
4º
44
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
19%
23%
59%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
WAL
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 2
DIR
17%
22%
60%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 4
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |