CD Ocotal vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
68.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
10º
9º
36
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 2
MAN
15%
26%
59%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
DIR
16%
25%
60%
|
69 | 15 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 3
DIR
14%
24%
63%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |