CD Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
9º
13
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 2
JAP
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
DEP
25%
21%
54%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |