CD Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
4º
25
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
DEP
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
MFC
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
UNA
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIR
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 2
WAL
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
ORM
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |