CD Ocotal vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 1
REA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 3
UNA
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
6 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 0
JAP
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
REA
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
CFC
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |