CD Ocotal vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
65%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
JUV
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 1
DEP
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
CFC
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 1
DIR
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 3
WAL
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
5 - 2
CFC
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |